Lets say 75% of the people in the United States make lists or use a similar organizational method to remember stuff. I had trouble figuring out an exact number - try searching for “percentage of people who use lists” - 3 of the top 10 responses have to do with making lists of people you’ve had sex with. Not exactly what Jottpad is for, but hey, however you want to use it is fine with me.
Anyway, if 75% of people are using lists and the number of iPhone users in the US is around 18.5 million as of March 2011. The potential user base of a list type app is about 14 million. You do the math - Jottpad is not breaking any download records in the App Store.
But, I am not discouraged. There is a potential market in the United States of 14 million iPhone users and worldwide that number is significantly more. Nearly 75% of iPhones are in use outside the US.
Why then, if the potential market is so big are the sales so small…
- The market is saturated with list apps
- The market is really saturated with list apps
- The market is really really saturated with list apps
- The market is really really really saturated with list apps
- Jottpad is on version 1
- Jottpad is feature-light
- Jottpad has no marketing, except me, and I’ve never done this
The list app market seems to be the hello world of the App Store. Hello world essentially meaning the sort of app one would build to learn programming on the iPhone. Tekpub, a video based instructional site, used a list app to explain iPhone development.
Every day you’ll see 5+ new apps show up in the Productivity category that essentially do what Jottpad does but without one key element - Syncing & Sharing via Jottpad.com - not Dropbox or a third party website. Jottpad.com gives me the ability to control my own destiny.
How to Measure Success
Ok, big potential market, Jottpad has control over its destiny, that’s all great but how does it equal more downloads and sales. Well, downloads and sales are just one metric of success. Granted it is THE metric of success used for the App Store but there are other ways to measure success.
My goal is to get enough downloads/sales to justify all the work I’ve put in & sustain future development. While I’m building the user base to that point I need other metrics to keep from getting discouraged.
- Happy Users. Build an initial base of people using Jottpad on a daily or weekly basis. These early users will hopefully tell other people about Jottpad.
- It Just Works. Ben Brooks wrote a good explanation of “It Just Works”. My take on it… Don’t make users feel stupid.
- Build a useful product. No amount of numbers 1 & 2 will matter if Jottpad is not useful.
If I execute on these three points I’ll consider Jottpad a success. And hopefully the downloads and sales will follow.
What Comes Next
Go really fast. until a big decision needs to be made then slow down to do it right. Add worthwhile features, in a way that makes sense, which contribute to the overall vision of Jottpad.
“Everything should be made as simple as possible, but no simpler.” Albert Einstein
I don’t usually believe in mission type statements having much value but for a one person product like Jottpad I refer to this motto. In practice this means taking a highly requested feature like adding date & time reminders to items - getting it in the hands of my users as quickly as possible, but not until it’s ready. In other words, work on the highest priority, get it done as fast as I can, and make it really good. Repeat.